INTERACTIVE TOOLS / WORKFORCE HEALTH

Workforce Cost Scenario

Type 2 diabetes costs grow as more people progress from prediabetes. The CDC estimates that 42.6% of U.S. adults have prediabetes, and 8 in 10 of them do not know it. Your workforce may differ. Use this illustrative scenario to explore how slower progression could change medical cost exposure.

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Start with an example.

We have entered 1,000 covered adults and the published cohort rate to show how the model works. Replace these with your own assumptions. Nothing is sent or saved.

Workforce size

Example: 1,000 covered adults. Enter your covered adult count, if known.

Estimated prediabetes prevalence42%

25%50%

Default 42%. CDC estimates 42.6% among U.S. adults; your covered population may differ. CDC source

Reference progression rate (cases per 100 person-years)

Default 11.0, observed in the high-risk placebo arm of the Diabetes Prevention Program trial. Participants received standard advice; this is not a measured rate for your workforce. DPP source

Modeled progression rate (cases per 100 person-years)

Example rate: 2.0 cases per 100 patient-years observed in a prior free-living, retrospective cohort led by Peter. Applying it here is an extrapolation, not an expected effect of today's employer offering. Cohort source

Annual medical cost difference per person (U.S. dollars)

Default $11,522: the 2022 diabetes estimate of $12,022 minus the 2017 prediabetes estimate of $500. The studies use different dollar years, so this subtraction is illustrative, not an inflation-adjusted comparison. Replace it with a suitable plan estimate when available.

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIO

What changes in the model?

Illustrative calculation based on the assumptions shown. It is not measured savings.

Estimated adults with prediabetes420

Fewer modeled cases per year37.8

Lower annualized medical cost exposure$435,532

At the reference rate: 46.2 cases per year

At the modeled rate: 8.4 cases per year

The model multiplies covered adults by assumed prevalence, then applies each annual progression rate. The difference in modeled cases is multiplied by the annual medical cost difference.

The annualized medical cost exposure difference is illustrative, not a promise of actual results or realized savings.

BRING YOUR OWN CONTEXT

Explore what your plan data might change.

Talk to a Human about your workforce