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INTERACTIVE TOOLS / WORKFORCE HEALTH

Workforce Cost Scenario

Type 2 diabetes costs grow as more people progress from prediabetes. The CDC estimates that 42.6% of U.S. adults have prediabetes, and 8 in 10 of them do not know it. Your workforce may differ. Use this illustrative scenario to explore how slower progression could change medical cost exposure.

Same basis, same units: cases per 100, per year.

Before you adjust the assumptions below, here's what the two reference rates in this model actually look like side by side.

Without a program

11 of 100, per year

With Plan2Peak

2 of 100, per year

Reference rate: Diabetes Prevention Program Research Group, N Engl J Med, 2002 (placebo arm, 11.0 cases per 100 person-years). Modeled rate: Plan2Peak published cohort, Cummings et al., AJPM Focus, 2022 (1.69 cases per 100 patient-years, rounded to 2 per 100 in the visual). Both are annualized rates from different studies, shown here on the same basis for comparison, not a measured outcome for any specific workforce.

YOUR ASSUMPTIONS

Start with an example.

We have entered 1,000 covered adults and the published cohort rate to show how the model works. Replace these with your own assumptions. Nothing is sent or saved.

Example: 1,000 covered adults. Enter your covered adult count, if known.

42%
25%50%

Default 42%. CDC estimates 42.6% among U.S. adults; your covered population may differ. CDC source

Default 11.0, observed in the high-risk placebo arm of the Diabetes Prevention Program trial. Participants received standard advice; this is not a measured rate for your workforce. DPP source

Example rate: 2.0 cases per 100 patient-years observed in a prior free-living, retrospective cohort led by Peter. Applying it here is an extrapolation, not an expected effect of today's employer offering. Cohort source

Default $11,522: the 2022 diabetes estimate of $12,022 minus the 2017 prediabetes estimate of $500. The studies use different dollar years, so this subtraction is illustrative, not an inflation-adjusted comparison. Replace it with a suitable plan estimate when available.

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIO

What changes in the model?

Illustrative calculation based on the assumptions shown. It is not measured savings.

Estimated adults with prediabetes420
Fewer modeled cases per year37.8
Lower annualized medical cost exposure$435,532

At the reference rate: 46.2 cases per year

At the modeled rate: 8.4 cases per year

The model multiplies covered adults by assumed prevalence, then applies each annual progression rate. The difference in modeled cases is multiplied by the annual medical cost difference.

The annualized medical cost exposure difference is illustrative, not a promise of actual results or realized savings.

BRING YOUR OWN CONTEXT

Explore what your plan data might change.

Talk to a Human about your workforce